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Wintermute
Wintermute OTC Market Review 1H25

Wintermute OTC Market Review 1H25

A detailed, biannual look into digital asset markets through analysis of Wintermute’s proprietary OTC trading data. The 1H25 edition explores surging derivatives volumes, clear divergence between institutional and retail trading behaviors, increased institutional demand for OTC execution and much more.

14 Jul 2025

Reports

At a glance


In the first half of 2025, crypto markets experienced significant OTC derivatives growth driven by institutional options trading, increased crypto adoption by traditional financial institutions, and clear consolidation around core crypto sectors. Retail investors diversified into more altcoins despite lower overall memecoin activity, while seasonal trading patterns drove strong early-year volumes that normalized by the second quarter.

Crypto derivatives volumes surge while institutional and retail strategies diverge in the first half of 2025

Crypto markets reached a turning point in early 2025, with Wintermute’s data showing institutional and retail investors diverging in their strategies for the first time since the last bull market. Institutions sought stable, liquid exposure guided by strict mandates, while retail investors aggressively pursued innovation across a wider range of altcoins and speculative opportunities. After years of moving in sync, this divergence provides the clearest indication yet of a maturing market defined by distinct investor objectives, tools, and risk profiles.

Below is a snapshot of key trends from Wintermute’s proprietary OTC flows, highlighting patterns likely to influence market behavior through the remainder of the year:

  • Retail and institutional flows diverged significantly for the first time, with institutions holding steady in Bitcoin and Ethereum, while retail investors diversified further into a broader range of altcoins, doubling the number of tokens traded despite declining overall memecoin activity
  • OTC derivatives volumes surged, led by a 412% jump in options trading volumes compared to the first half of 2024, alongside a doubling in the number of traded CFD underlyings, including newly introduced index underlyings
  • Traditional finance significantly expanded its crypto presence, with onchain activity increasing notably, tokenized platforms gaining meaningful traction, and initial pilots of tokenized equity offerings driving a 32% year-over-year rise in Wintermute’s OTC volumes from traditional institutions.
  • Seasonal trading patterns persisted, with volumes spiking in early 2025 following momentum from late-2024 gains, before normalizing through the second quarter as macro catalysts faded
  • Sector flows consolidated further around Bitcoin and Ethereum, as broader markets focused increasingly on established crypto assets and major investment themes

Wintermute’s own OTC trading volume grew 2.4 times faster than the broader exchange market, clearly underscoring the institutional shift towards specialized OTC solutions offering deeper liquidity and discrete execution.

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Disclaimer: Spot trading is offered by Wintermute Trading Ltd and derivatives referencing cryptoassets is offered by Wintermute Asia Pte Ltd (hereafter referred to as “Wintermute Entity” or collectively as “Wintermute”). Each Wintermute Entity trades for its own account and with assets (including digital assets) that belong to it.

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The information does not constitute an offer or commitment, a solicitation of an offer, or commitment, or any advice or recommendation to enter into or conclude any transactions or to provide investment services in any state or country where such an offer, solicitation, or provision would be illegal. Wintermute does not give any representations or warranties in relation to the accuracy, validity, or complicity of the information of this material, including without limitation the factual information obtained from publicly available sources considered by Wintermute to be reliable, and does not accept any liability for any consequences of using the information contained in this material, and for the applicability of this material for the specific purposes and objectives of this material recipients. Any opinions or estimates expressed herein reflect a judgment made by the author(s) as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Neither this material nor any copy thereof may be taken, reproduced, or redistributed, directly or indirectly, without Wintermute's prior written permission.Wintermute may maintain investments in the projects or companies discussed. 

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